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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

99 in stock

Firm sale: non returnable item

SKU 9780141034591 Categories Sciences And Technology, Products

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What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? Th...

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Description

Product ID:	9780141034591
Product Form:	Paperback / softback
Country of Manufacture:	GB
Title:	The Black Swan
Subtitle:	The Impact of the Highly Improbable
Authors:	Author: Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Page Count:	480
Subjects:	Information theory, Information theory
Description:	Select Guide Rating What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This title deals with this questions. The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they''re impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. ''Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide ... I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person'' Will Self, Independent on Sunday ''He leaps like some superhero of the mind'' Boyd Tonkin, Independent
Imprint Name:	Penguin Books Ltd
Publisher Name:	Penguin Books Ltd
Country of Publication:	GB
Publishing Date:	2008-02-28

Additional information

Weight	348 g
Dimensions	197 × 129 × 28 mm

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